LA Angles v Minnesota Twins
While we have to rely on them often, statistics can be deceiving. So when you see Jerome Williams is pitching for the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim when they host the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday don’t recoil. Williams overall ERA is an ugly 5.51, but dig a little deeper and you’ll see he’s thrown the ball well of late. After a dismal first outing when he gave up five runs in 2 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees (at Yankee Stadium no less), he’s had two quality outings, allowing a respectable five runs in 13 2/3 innings over those contests. On the other hand, there’s no way of reading the stats sympathetically for the Twins’ left-hander Francisco Liriano. He’s 0-3 with an 11.02 ERA. Minnesota skipped over his last start in the hope that he’ll get his mechanics straightened out. I wouldn’t bet it’ll happen in this game. The Angels have not swung the bat well, but it’s been a matter of underachieving – something that won’t last forever. Pick the Angels at 1.60 and pass on the Twins at 2.35
Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners
The Tampa Bay Rays Matt Moore is one of the most talented young pitchers in Major League Baseball. He throws with great velocity for a left-hander (averaging more than 94 mph on the fastball) and has a great complement of off-speed pitches. Still, he’s been erratic in this his first full season in the Big Leagues. Overall, he’s had three pretty good starts and one bad one. This game may be his first stellar effort as the Rays are at home against the Seattle Mariners. This will mark Moore’s third home start and though we don’t have a lot of data to work with yet – two games on the road so far and two at home – Moore has thrown better at Tropicana Field (3.75 ERA) than away (5.54 ERA). Not to mention, the Mariners have a subpar line up. Historically, Seattle’s start Hector Noesi has been mediocre against the Rays (4.22 ERA in 10 2/3 innings). This season he’s been knocked around in three of his four starts. His only decent outing came against an American League-worst Oakland A’s lineup. Go with the Rays at 1.45 and avoid the Mariners at 2.75.