Oakland’s Tommy Milone is pitching at home against the Toronto Blue Jays, which makes the A’s a good bet. Milone did have an unexpected poor performance in his last outing at the O.co Coliseum, conceding five runs in six innings of work against the Tampa Bay Rays. But a long view of Milone’s 2012 work at home suggest that outing was an aberration; even after getting roughed up, Milone owns a 1.51 ERA when throwing in Oakland.
His opponent, Aaron Laffey, suffered his worst defeat of the year last time out, getting torched for seven runs and nine hits in just 4 2/3 innings versus the light-hitting Seattle Mariners. Trust in Milone’s home-field confidence and take the A’s at 1.57 instead of the Blue Jays at 2.40.
The Los Angeles Dodgers should pick up a much-needed win at home against the Chicago Cubs. With the recent offensive acquisitions of Hanley Ramirez and Shane Victorino, Los Angeles now has a pretty potent line-up. That’s bad news for Cubs starter Justin Germano, who has a history of struggling against the Dodgers: in six appearances versus LA, Germano is 0-4 with a 5.93 ERA.
Los Angeles pitcher Aaron Harang has been solid at home (3.79 ERA) and already has one good performance against Chicago under his belt from earlier in the season (he threw six innings and allowed two runs). Throw in the fact that the Dodgers are in a heated play-off race while the Cubs are merely finishing out a dismal season, and picking LA is clearly the better choice than going with Chicago.