Athletics v Rays
Tommy Milone pitching at home means the Oakland A’s should dispatch of the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday. The left-handed Milone has been nearly unstoppable at Oakland’s O.co Coliseum, posting a 5-1 record with a 0.91 ERA (his road numbers: 4-6, 5.77 ERA). Meanwhile, The Rays have also had more difficulty against left-handed starters in 2012 than righties. Their batting average is .221 (compared to .236 versus righties) and the team’s slugging percentage is .335 (as opposed to .388 against righties). While historically, Rays starter James Shields has been an upper-tier pitcher, this year has not been a great one for him. His 4.52 ERA is subpar and he’s coming off a bad performance in which he gave up five runs on six hits and five walks in six innings against the Baltimore Orioles. Pick the A’s at 1.81 to prevail against the Rays on at 2.20.
Reds v Padres
The Cincinnati Reds at home are well-placed to dispatch of the San Diego Padres. Homer Bailey, who starts this one for the Reds, has been one of baseball’s best pitchers in July. He’s 4-0 in five appearances and sports a 1.43 ERA. Equally impressive is his walk-to-strikeout ratio. He’s only yielded eight base-on-balls while punching out 34 batters. His pitching opposition, Jason Marquis isn’t a strong one at this point his career. He’s posted a 6-9 record with a 5.25 ERA in 2012 and, while his overall numbers when pitching in Cincinnati are better – 4.35 ERA in 11 appearances – they aren’t world-beater numbers. Take the Reds at 1.52 as Bailey’s current role will be the difference maker against the Padres (2.55).