Home run (Safe bet)
Go with the San Diego Padres - on at 1.63 - to prevail over the Colorado Rockies at home.
The Rockies are in such disarray right now and that should continue in this Monday matchup. No team in the Major Leagues has been worse in their past ten games than the Rockies (2-8). Quite plainly, with stars Troy Tulowitzki and Michael Cuddyer still shelved with injuries they are short-manned. What’s additionally important to note is how bad the Rockies are on the road. In fact, no team in the National League has a worst record than their 17-41 mark in away games.
On the flipside, the Padres have been gaining steam lately (7-3 in their last ten) and, despite having a winning percentage under .500 overall, the club has a solid 31-27 record at Petco Park. The pitching matchup is pretty good here. The Padres’ Jesse Hahn is an excellent 7-3 with a 2.28 ERA in ten starts. The Rockies’ Jordan Lyles is 6-1 this season, but he only recently came back from injury and in his first outing since being shelved he was hit pretty hard, giving up four runs in six innings against the Chicago Cubs. This suggests he might be quite in form at the moment.
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
Look for the Atlanta Braves to score first at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers; take it at 1.95
Going with the home team to score first presents good odds and with Dan Haren on the pitcher’s mound for Los Angeles it’s a strong wager.
Haren is struggling. He has a 4.57 ERA overall and in his past four starts owns a 6.33 ERA. But it’s his struggles over the first third of games that stands out. Over the first three innings (though 23 starts), the right-hander possesses a 5.09 record. In other words, teams typically get to the pitcher early in the game.
The Braves’ Julio Teheran has had his struggles in the first inning (5.25 ERA in 24 starts), but if he can sidestep any problems in the opening frame, he should hold the Dodgers at relative bay. His ERA in the second inning is 2.25, while his third-frame ERA is 3.38. Offensively, the Dodger are in a bit of a lull recently. They’ve opened August (first nine games) poorly at the plate. In that stretch they’ve tallied a subpar hitting lines of .231 batting average, .290 on base percentage and .342 slugging percentage. That should help Teheran’s chances.
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