The New York Yankees will reign at home against their crosstown rivals, the New York Mets, on Thursday. The Mets have a worse batting average, on base percentage and slugging percentage against left-handed pitchers so the Yankees will benefit from starting lefty Vidal Nuno.
A rookie, Nuno has put up excellent minor league numbers over the past couple of years and has been equally sharp in the Majors so far this campaign. In four appearances he has a 1.93 ERA.
The Mets starter, Dillon Gee, has not fared nearly as well. He’s 2-6 with a 6.34 ERA. But being away from Citi Field is where things go particularly wrong for Gee, who has registered a 9.97 ERA when on the road.
Sure, Gee doesn’t have far to go in this one, but the Yankees are just so proficient in their home ballpark. They have a winning percentage well over .600 at Yankee Stadium in 2013, so go with the Yankees to win at 1.58.
The Colorado Rockies are going to pick up a victory at home versus the Houston Astros. Houston pitcher Lucas Harrell has a lot of talent, but this season has not been kind to him so far. He’s posted a 5.43 ERA and an opportunity to pitch at the offensive haven that is Coors Field will not help improve that woeful average.
Harrell has pitched at Coors previously and it’s an experience he’d like to forget. Last year, he threw five innings there and was torched for ten hits and nine runs in a 13-5 thumping. Not surprisingly, Colorado hitters can boast a combined career .317 batting average (and .561 slugging percentage) against Harrell.
Rockies pitcher Juan Nicasio has a much better feel for pitching at Coors. He’s 2-0 with a 3.54 ERA there this year and 8-3 over his career at home.
As for Astros hitters, they have just a .143 batting average against Nicasio lifetime. Pick the Rockies, on at 1.42, to prevail.
Best Bet: Back the Yankees against the Mets at 1.58
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