Home run (Safe bet)
Take the Milwaukee Brewers at 1.67 over the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Brewers are missing two of their top hitters - Carlos Gomez and Aramis Ramirez to injury -- for this Thursday tilt. But with Ryan Braun in the line-up they should have enough pitching to prevail.
Milwaukee starts Yovani Gallardo who boasts a great record versus the Pirates. He is 8-2 with a 2.45 ERA in last 14 starts against Pittsburgh. In his last four appearances against the Pirates he's 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA
The big advantage is the Brewers' line up will go against Wandy Rodriguez. He's being activated from the disabled list for this game, but was horrible in two minor league rehab starts. In those games, the left-hander was crushed for 11 runs and 11 hits in 8 2/3 innings. He also walked six
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
Pick the Boston Red Sox - on at 1.77 - to take a road victory from the Minnesota Twins.
The key here will be Boston's top hitters who have strong histories under the circumstances.
Mike Napoli has been a beast at Target Field. He owns a .528 batting average with nine homers and 22 RBIs in 13 games since the stadium opened in 2010. He's also hot recently. He's 7 for 10 in this series and posses a .552 average with five homers in his past seven contests.
David Ortiz also had a good track record versus Twins starter Phil Hughes. Ortiz is 9 for 22 (.409) with two homers and three doubles lifetime versus the pitcher.
While Hughes has thrown well lately, expect Boston starter to rise to the occasion here. The right-hander has done well in his recent career against the Twins. In his last six appearances against them he owns a 3.05 ERA He looked good the last time he pitched at Target Field on May 17. That game he allows two runs and four hits in seven innings of work.