MLB Betting: Braves to stop the rot with home win

The Atlanta Braves at home with Kris Medlen on the mound will mean victory against the San Diego Padres on Saturday.

The Braves come into this series having endured a rough road trip, losing four of seven against weaker clubs (Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies). But back at home, the Braves should return to their winning ways.

No team dominates at their own ballpark better than the Braves. They boast a winning percentage over .700 at Turner Field. Medlen pitching further bolsters Atlanta’s chances. Everything aligns for Medlen in this contest. He’s been pitching well as of late – he has a 2.15 ERA in his past five games – and is a stud at home (2.66 ERA; compared to a 4.27 ERA on the road).

Opposing Medlen on the pitcher’s mound is Robbie Erlin. Overall, Erlin has a weak 5.56 ERA, but is even worse away from Petco Field, where his ERA balloons to 8.62. Pick the Braves at 1.51.

A longtime superstar’s recent demise will be pivotal when the Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees. CC Sabathia is a six-time All Star and has been a consistent performer for years – well, until this year.

His 4.82 ERA is vastly supbar and he’s been backsliding even more as the season has worn on matters. In his past five outings, he has a 5.63 ERA. Also, in particular, he’s been horrible at Fenway Park. In four starts there this year he has a 7.15 ERA.

His situation is not improved by Boston’s choice to pitchers. Left-hander Jon Lester has gone the opposite direction as Sabathia. His 3.86 ERA is a vast improvement on his work in 2012. Moreover, he’s been in a groove recently. In his past five starts he’s put up a sparkling 1.96 ERA. Overall, he’s been tough at home (5-1 record; 3.48 ERA). Go with the Red Sox at 1.58.

Best bets

Back the Braves to beat the Padres at 1.51

Back the Red Sox to beat the Yankees at 1.58