Chicago Cubs fans will get a nice respite from a difficult season when they take on the New York Mets on Sunday. One of the bright spots for Chicago’s National League club has been Travis Wood. Overall, he’s 4-2 with a 2.03 ERA, but what is particularly impressive is how he’s pitched at Wrigley Field, which, according to ESPN’s Park Factors analysis, is the most offense-friendly field in Major League Baseball this season. In five starts at his home park, Wood has posted a sterling 2.06 ERA. Wood also had a lot of success against a number of mainstays in the New York lineup. Starters Ike Davis, Lucas Duda, John Buck and Ruben Tejada are a combined 3 for 23 (.130 batting average) against Wood.
Mets starter Dillon Gee has had a forgettable season thus far: he’s 2-5 with a 6.13 ERA. His history at Wrigley Field is an equally poor one - 1-1 with a 6.55 ERA lifetime. Not surprisingly, Cubs hitters do love seeing him. The current team has hit a combined .338 against Gee. Chicago, who can be had at 1.61, are the right choice in this match-up.
The prospect of a little revenge will lead to a positive outcome for the Milwaukee Brewers on the road against St. Louis. Milwaukee pitcher Kyle Lohse was a successful member of the Cardinals’ pitching rotation from 2008 to 2012. He’s always thrown well in St. Louis, going 30-18 with a 3.39 ERA over 74 career starts. But when he couldn’t come to terms with the club after last season, he was forced to wait until late into Spring Training before finding a new home in Milwaukee. This is an opportunity for Lohse, who has thrown solidly so far in 2013 (3.49 ERA), to provide a little payback. Already this season, the right-hander squared up nicely against the Cardinals once before, giving up two runs in seven innings of worked against his former team. Still, Lohse picked up the hard-luck 2-0 loss in that one so he still has unfinished business. He should be helped by his line-up, which has swung the bat well against left-handed pitchers this season. They own a healthy .282 battting average against southpaws (compared to a .248 average against righties).
As you’ve probably guessed, the Cardinals' rookie starter John Gast is left-handed. It’s also worth noting that Gast didn’t throw well in his first Major League start. All signs point to a Brewers victory and you can have them at 2.05.