Runs are on the menu when the St. Louis Cardinals face the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cardinals starter Lance Lynn has good overall numbers this year (13-5, 3.65 ERA), but the grind of the season – this is Lynn’s first year as a starter in the Major Leagues – has gotten to him. He’s failed to register a quality start (six-plus innings pitched; three or fewer earned runs allowed) in three of his past four starts.
The Pirates’ Erik Bedard hasn’t put up tidy numbers this year (7-12, 4.56 ERA), which has a lot to do with his inability to succeed on the road. Away from PNC Park, Bedard has a 6.75 ERA, which is more than four runs higher than when he pitches at home. St. Louis leads the National League in runs scored per game and Pittsburgh has tallied double-digit runs twice in their past six contests. Take more than 8.5 runs at 2.05 and ignore the unders at 1.77.
Bartolo Colon pitching at home will boost the Oakland A’s when they host the Cleveland Indians. In his past two starts at home, Colon has been dominant: over 15 innings he’s allowed zero earned runs, 11 hits and just one walk while striking out eight. As a team, the A’s definitely benefit from home field advantage. When playing at the O.co Coliseum, the club sports a winning percentage of .567 (compared to .491 on the road).
Cleveland starter Corey Kluber is still trying to find his way in the Major Leagues. The rookie is 0-1 with an 8.56 ERA in three starts since his call up after veteran Derek Lowe was let go. Pick the A’s at 1.60; not the Indians at 2.35.