Chicago Cubs v St Louis Cardinals
Two shaky pitchers on the mound offer up a good opportunity for a run fest at Wrigley Field when the Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday. I hate to pick on Adam Wainwright again, but the Cardinals’ starter has a good chance of going winless in April for the first time in his six years as a starting pitcher. His fastball is lacking good movement and his command isn’t there. As mentioned in an earlier posting, he’ll improve. But it will be a slow process. His opponent, Jeff Samardzija, is coming off the back of a weak performance in which he only lasted 3 2/3 innings, consistently falling behind in the count. If he does that in this game against a St. Louis lineup, which is averaging more than five runs a game – second most in the National League – it could be bad news. The Cubs are struggling overall but they can score runs in bunches as they’ve put up five or more runs in four contests so far in this young season. At 2.20 a home win is decent value against a Cardinals victory at 1.67.
Cincinatti Reds v San Francisco Giants
It would be hard to bet against the San Francisco Giants’ Matt Cain right now. He comes into this match up at the Cincinnati Reds having thrown 18 straight shutout innings. Not mention, over that period he’s allowed just three hits and one walk and has struck out 15. As hot as Cain is, the Reds hurler Mat Latos is not. The velocity on his typically blistering fastball is down and he’s struggling to go deep into games. His last performance, in which he gave up eight runs, was his longest of the season at a relatively short 5 2/3 innings pitched. While the Reds posses offensive talent, the Giants have surprisingly been the better hitting team. Form for these teams will likely change as the year goes on but don’t expect it to happen tonight. Go with the Giants at 1.90 over the Reds at the same price.