The in-form Matt Cain should be key for the San Francisco Giants when they visit the dismal Chicago Cubs on Sunday. Cain has certainly flashed his Cy Young Award credentials in his past four starts: over that stretch he’s gone 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA. Moreover, he’s always pitched well at Wrigley Field, where he owns a 1.71 ERA over five starts.
Cubs hurler Travis Wood is streaking in the wrong direction: in his past nine starts he’s 0-8 with a 6.66 ERA. The intangible of the Giants playing for something (they currently lead the National League West but haven’t locked it up) and the Cubs playing for nothing (they’re well out of play-off contention) should also figure in this one. Take San Francisco at 1.52 not Chicago at 2.55.
Mark Buehrle’s comfort level at home during his first season with the Miami Marlins should make the difference when the New York Mets come to town. In thirteen starts at home, Buehrle has a 2.91 ERA (in thirteen starts on the road he’s sporting a 4.39 ERA). The left-hander is also coming off a solid performance against the Los Angeles Dodgers in which he gave up just one run in 5 2/3 innings.
The Mets’ Chris Young continues to struggle to give his club innings; in three of his past six starts he hasn’t been able to complete five innings of work. That’s particularly bad news for the Mets. The team’s bullpen is among the worst in runs allowed per game in 2012. Go with Miami at 1.65 instead of New York at 2.25.