The Colorado Rockies should prevail Sunday when they take on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Neither of these teams has played well in 2012. But despite being in last place in the National League West, the Rockies have actually been a better team on the road than at home. Admittedly, they’re bad in both places, but Colorado has a .414 winning percentage away versus a .400 winning percentage at home coming into this weekend.
These numbers might not matter, if not for the fact that they’re playing a subpar Cubs and that they have Jhoulys Chacin pitching. While Chacin’s overall numbers aren’t good (1-3, 6.16 ERA), much of that can be attributed to poor performance early in the season, likely due to injury. He came off the disabled list on Tuesday and looked like the Chacin of old, commanding his fastball and giving up just four hits in six innings against the New York Mets.
The Cubs roll out Chris Volstad, who has been a monumental failure. In fact, Volstad, who is 0-9 with a 6.88 ERA, hasn’t won a game in 24 consecutive starts. Against the Rockies he’s 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA lifetime. Pick Colorado at 1.85 as Chicago are a bad proposition at 1.95.
The Baltimore Orioles will continue their improbable run as playoff contenders with a victory at home against the Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto starter Henderson Alvarez began the season promisingly, but appears fatigued in his most recent starts. In three of his past four outings he hasn’t lasted more than five innings and was hammered his last time out, giving up eight runs and 12 hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Texas Rangers.
Baltimore’s Chris Tillman has been far steadier. Overall he’s 6-2 with a 3.71 ERA and, most recently, looked good yielding three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings against the same Rangers team that pummeled Alvarez. Go with the Orioles at 1.65, rather than the Blue Jays at 2.25.