There’s a good chance of an upset when the Houston Astros play the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road. The Dodgers have been fantastic at home, but Astros starter Bud Norris is in the midst of a career-best run as a Major Leaguer. Norris is 4-0 with a Big-League leading 0.35 ERA in May. The Astros play with confidence when he’s on the mound; they’re 8-1 over the course of the season when Norris starts.
While the Dodgers are hot, their starter in this game, Chad Billingsley, has been one of their least reliable players. His two wins are the fewest on the team’s starting rotation and his 3.91 ERA is the second worst. He’s been particularly poor recently – in his last four outings he’s had only one quality start (six-plus innings pitched; three or fewer earned runs allowed). As a result, this might just be one that the Astros, on at 2.25, might steal from the high-flying Dodgers, who are offered at 1.65.
I’m expecting plenty of runs when the Detroit Tigers visit the Minnesota Twins. Target Field, which has a reputation as a pitcher’s ballpark, has played pretty evenly this year and with two scuffling pitchers there should be some offensive production. The Tigers’ Max Scherzer is definitely pitching better as of late – as evidenced by his 15 strikeout performance against the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 20 – but he’s facing a Twins lineup that has some momentum.
Minnesota have scored 6.5 runs per game over their past eight, including 11 against these Tigers on May 16. As for the Twins’ pitcher, Carl Pavano, Detroit owned him last year as he recorded a 0-3 record with a 5.95 ERA against them. Take over 8.5 runs at 1.85 instead of the under at 1.95.