In a match-up with play-off implications, the Los Angeles Dodgers will make the most of having their ace Clayton Kershaw pitching on Monday. LA should prevail at home against the San Francisco Giants. Kershaw is riding a four-start winning streak and has always brought his best stuff to contests against the Giants: lifetime, he’s 7-3 with a 1.32 ERA versus San Francisco.
The Giants’ pitcher Madison Bumgarner is a formidable opponent, as his 13-7 record and 2.97 ERA suggests. But so many of those stellar numbers have come at AT&T Park, where he’s 8-1 with a 1.87 ERA. On the road he’s 5-6 with a 4.06 ERA. Historically, he has pitched well against the Dodgers – 4-2, 3.62 ERA – but not as well as Kershaw. Go with the Dodgers at 1.60 not the Giants at 2.35.
The on-form Oakland A’s are a good pick when they host the Minnesota Twins. Athletics starting pitcher Brandon McCarthy is an ace at home, with a 1.57 ERA in seven starts (compared to a 3.83 ERA on the road). As has been the case throughout his career, McCarthy has battled injuries in 2012. Though he’s winless in two starts since coming off the disabled list, he’s delivered a quality start in both instances (and both of those contests were on the road).
The Twins counter with Brian Duensing, who has bad overall numbers this season: 2-8 with a 4.69 ERA. Moreover, in his last outing he gave up five runs and eight hits in six innings. Take the A’s at 1.60; Minnesota at 2.35 is not the right pick.