MLB Betting: Felix Hernandez to obliterate Toronto


The Seattle Mariners will cruise to a victory over the Toronto Blue Jays at home on Tuesday.

This contest is a pitching mismatch. The Mariners send Felix Hernandez to the mound; he's 11-4 with an American League-leading 2.30 ERA and has a great history against hitters on the Blue Jay’s roster.

Combined, Toronto batters own a weak .242 batting average and a paltry .293 on base percentage against “King Felix.” Adding to Hernandez’s probability for victory is his pitching adversary in this clash.

Blue Jays’ starter Josh Johnson has been one of baseball’s most disappointing players in 2013. After a number of strong years for the Miami Marlins, Johnson came to Toronto with high hopes, but he’s delivered much less. He is 1-8 with a 6.60 ERA this season and the Blue Jays’ front office is questioning whether he will even maintain a position in Toronto’s starting pitching rotation. Choose Seattle to win at 1.51.

It will be a pitcher’s delight when the Atlanta Braves visit the Washington Nationals.

Both starters in this contest have thrown well this year. In his first full season as a Major League starter, Julio Teheran hasn’t disappointed. He’s 8-5 with a 3.02 ERA and hasn’t shown signs of fatigue as the season has wore one. In fact, he’s allowed just two earned runs in his past 18 innings pitched.

He’s been dominant during much of that stretch, having struck out 23 over those innings, which spanned three starts. Washington’s Gio Gonzalez started the season wobbly – with his ERA as high as 4.97 in May – only to rebound through June and much of July. He worked his ERA down to 2.97 before a nightmare of a last start against the Detroit Tigers in which he gave up ten runs in 3 1/3 innings.

But that terrible loss came on the road. At home, he’s thrown consistently well, putting up a 3.07 ERA.  Even if these two top-shelf pitchers weren’t on the docket for this game, these clubs would likely struggle offensively.

Atlanta just hasn’t hit well on the road this season. They possess a weak .240 batting average, .313 on base percentage and .395 slugging percentage – compared with home numbers of .269/.343/.437 respectively in the same categories.

All around, the Nationals have struggled offensively. They rank fourteenth (out of fifteen National League clubs) in runs scored per game. As a result, look for the total run production to be below 7 runs and take it at 2.00.

Best bets

Back The Seattle Mariners at 1.51.

Under 7 runs between The Atlanta Braves and The Washington Nationals at 2.00.