A classic match-up between the New York Yankees at the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday will go to the club in better form - the Dodgers.
The Yankees line-up has been devastated by injuries and, while they have fought valiantly, their offence just isn’t where it needs to be when facing top pitching. New York currently ranks thirteenth out of fifteen teams in the American League when it comes to runs scored per game and their slugging percentage is dead last.
Dodgers’ starter Zack Greinke (pictured) should feast on such a sputtering line up – especially as he’s throwing at home. Greinke has a 5-1 record with a 2.56 ERA in games at Dodger Stadium this year. In contrast, the Dodgers lineup is completely clicking.
Coming into this week, Los Angeles owns a lofty .292 team batting average and .452 team slugging percentage in the month of July. They’ll face Andy Pettitte, who can still win games when his team scores runs but struggles otherwise. He’s 4-1 when New York scores more than four runs, but when they score fewer than that total, his record drops to 3-7. Odds are he won’t get good run support here. As a result, take the Dodgers at 1.54.
When the San Francisco Giants visit the Philadelphia Phillies, they’ll have the wrong man on the mound. It continues to make sense to bet against Giants’ starter Barry Zito whenever he gets the call on the road. His record in away games this season is 0-6 with a 9.39 ERA in nine starts (in comparison, he’s 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA at home).
As a result, don’t be skittish that Zito threw effectively against the Phillies at AT&T Park earlier this year. (In that game, he went seven innings and gave up just one run on four hits.) The reason: Citizens Bank Park is a totally different ball park (figuratively and literally).
In his career, Zito has a 4.68 lifetime ERA there. On the other hand, Zito’s pitching opponent, John Lannan, has proved quite comfortable at the Phillies home stadium. In five starts there this year, he’s 1-1 with a 2.73 ERA. He’s also been throwing pretty well in general recently, logging a 3.24 ERA in his past four starts. The Phillies are the strong pick here.
The Dodgers to beat the Yankees at 1.54.
The Phillies to beat the Giants at 1.70.