Home field advantage will carry the day for the San Francisco Giants when they host the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday. The Giants’ Ryan Vogelsong is at his best when he throws in the friendly confines of AT&T Park. In 2012, he gave up more than a full earned run less per nine innings there (2.86 ERA at home compared to 3.87 ERA on the road). Include the fact that Vogelsong threw seven scoreless innings last August against a St Louis line up that should include six of the same batters and Vogelsong is well-placed for success.
His pitching opponent, Shelby Miller, is immensely talented but only has three Major League starts to his name. Early career jitters are likely in this contest. Pick the Giants at 1.72 to prevail.
Runs will be tallied in high numbers – even by Colorado's standards – when the Rockies host the San Diego Padres. Both starting pitchers have something to prove. Colorado’s Jon Garland hasn’t started a Major League game since 2011, losing all of last year’s campaign to injury. He threw pretty will in Spring Training, but still got released by the Seattle Mariners before the Rockies picked him up. (It’s not a good sign when Seattle dump you just before the season.)
The Padres counter with Tyson Ross, who was a long-time prospect with the Oakland Athletics. But after a horrible 2012 in which he registered a 2-11 record and a 6.50 ERA, he was traded to San Diego. The bottom line is Coors Field is not the park to turn things around. Though the line is a healthy 10.5 runs it's worth going for the overs at 2.15.