The San Francisco Giants will keep the momentum going with a victory at home against the Colorado Rockies on Monday. A look at the head-to-head shows that Giants starter Madison Bumgarner is coming off a bad start against the Rockies. In his last outing he lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five runs a eleven hits in a loss at Coors Field. But the key was that that game was played away from the friendly pitching environs of AT&T Park. Whenever Bumgarner is at home, he’s a strong bet to pick up the win. When pitching in San Francisco, Bumgarner is 8-3 with a 2.39 ERA; on the road he’s 6-7 with a 4.21 ERA. (Also keep in mind that even at Coors, in two previous outings, he gave up a combined two runs in 13 1/3 innings.)
The Rockies’ starter in this one, Jhoulys Chacin, actually faced up against Bumgarner in his poor outing at Coors. He didn’t throw much better, giving up four runs in four innings. Overall, Chacin has not bounced back from injury well, as evidenced by a 2-5 record with a 4.86 ERA. Look for Bumgarner to return to form versus Colorado (on at 2.75) and bring the Giants (1.45) a victory.
Two pitchers coming off of good performances start when the Detroit Tigers face the Chicago White Sox in a key American League Central clash. But it’s the Tigers hurler, Doug Fister, who will prevail against Chicago’s Jose Quintana. Sure, Quintana pitched 7 2/3 innings in his most recent performance against the Detroit Tigers, giving up just one run on seven hits, but I see that result as an aberration compared to much of his recent form. After going 4-1 with a 2.04 ERA in the first half, he’s 2-3 with a 4.82 since the All-Star Game. He’s already thrown more than 170 innings in 2012. His previous professional high for innings pitched was 102 last year. Fatigue will make it hard for him to be consistent the rest of the way.
As for Fister, he went seven innings, giving up two runs against the White Sox in his most recent appearance. That result is emblematic of his second half, where he’s gone 7-2 with a 2.49 ERA (compared to 2-6 with a 4.75 ERA). Go with the Tigers at 1.81, not the White Sox at 2.00.