MLB Betting: Improving Price key when Rays host Yankees

The Marlins should get a rare win on Saturday in Miami versus the Colorado Rockies. Despite Miami’s offensive difficulties (they rank last out of 15 National League teams in runs scored per game), starter Jose Fernandez has often been able to steer them to victory. The pitcher has a 9-5 record but the team has looked good when he’s been on the mound recently: he's led his side to wins in seven of his last nine starts.

Helping matters here for Miami is how much of a shambles the Rockies have been on the road: coming into this series they owned a .328 winning percentage on their travels. Moreover, Miami seem to have the Rockies' number, having prevailed in three of four match-ups already this season. Look for the Marlins – on here at 1.48 – to snag a victory.

Two supposed pitching aces going in very different directions will determine the result when the New York Yankees visit the Tampa Bay Rays. Reigning American League Cy Young Award winner David Price started the season shakily, but has been spotless since the All Star break. In the second half, he’s 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA in seven starts.

The less-than-vaunted Yankees line-up shouldn’t be too tough for Price. Lifetime, the hitters on the roster own a .231 batting average and a .294 on base percentage in 272 plate appearances against him. Key performers like Curtis Granderson (.196 batting average), Vernon Wells (.167), and Brett Gardner (.143) have all struggled against Price.

Yankees pitcher CC Sabathia, who won a Cy Young Award of his own in 2007, is having the worst season of his career. He leads the American league in earned runs allowed and his 4.83 ERA is easily the highest in his 13 years in the Major Leagues. Even more troubling is that he’s getting worse as the season progresses: in six second-half starts, Sabathia is 2-2 with a 7.86 ERA. He certainly won’t be happy to pitch away from Yankee Stadium. When tabbed as the visiting pitcher, he’s 4-5 with a 5.66 ERA in 13 starts; when at home he’s 7-5 with a 4.06 ERA. Back the Rays for the win at 1.51.