MLB Betting: Indians to March On At Minnesota Tonight


Twins v Indians

The Cleveland Indians will continue their march to the post-season with a key win on the road against the Minnesota Twins on Saturday.

The Indians have played like a team of destiny in September. Coming into this weekend, they’ve posted an 18-6 record and their performance over the final two games of the 2013 campaign (the regular season ends on Sunday) will determine whether they make the playoffs.

The Twins are a useful team to play under the circumstances. Cleveland has a 10-6 record against them this season and took two-out-of-three last time they played at Target Field. Cleveland sends Scott Kazmir to the pitcher’s mound. He is coming off a seven-inning, four-hit, ten-strikeout, shutout performance against the Houston Astros. (While Houston is notoriously bad, the Twins are actually tied with the Astros for the second fewest runs scored per game in the American League.)

Most telling is Kazmir’s success specifically against Minnesota this year. In four starts, the left-hander is 2-0 with a 1.44 ERA. Not only do the Indians have the right pitcher in this game along with momentum on its side, but they face a player, Cole De Vries who has been very poor in his brief Major League time this year. In four starts, De Vries has lasted at total of only 10 innings and has registered a shockingly poor 11.70 ERA. Go with the Indians at 1.51.

Yankees v Mariners

Call me a sentimental, but I’m also picking Andy Pettitte to lead the New York Yankees to victory against the Houston Astros in what will be the left-hander’s final Major League start. In reality, it’s not the fact that I’ll miss the 18-year veteran, who is retiring (I’m not even a Yankees fan), I’m going with a masterful performance from Pettitte for a couple of empirical reasons.

The first is that he’s been throwing well lately. In his past five starts, he has a 3.09 ERA – and in his past two that number has dropped to 1.98. The second is Pettitte, who previously had a stint with the Astros, has a great history of success at Houston’s home ballpark, Minute Maid Park. In 43 starts there, he’s 20-14 with a 3.38 ERA. A final reason, which admittedly is not statistically based, is that Pettite has a reputation as a clutch performer.

In fact, he holds the all-time record for most post-season wins (19). No doubt, a final opportunity to pitch on baseball’s biggest stage might put pressure on some, but the opposite is likely true for Pettitte, who will relish the final shot at a win. Take the Yankees at 1.61.