I’m definitely buying the Texas Rangers when Yu Darvish takes the mound against the Cleveland Indians on the road this Sunday. After an uncomfortable couple of starts, Darvish has hit his stride and, barring injury, will be a tough player to bet against in the foreseeable future. (For a sampling just check out the 19 strikeouts he’s had over his past two starts.) His opponent Ubaldo Jimenez is a fading star. The former Colorado Rockies ace has seemed a shell of his former self. Most notably, he’s lacked control and shown no signs of figuring out a way back to where he was a couple of seasons ago. His worked against the Chicago White Sox in his last appearance is emblematic: 4 2/3 innings, seven runs (four earned), eight hits and an abysmal six walks. Follow Darvish and the Rangers to victory at 1.62 as opposed to Jimenez’s Indians, available at 2.30.
A high-scoring affair is in the cards at Fenway Park when the Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles. Fenway has always been a good scoring ballpark (in the upper third as a hitter friendly stadium so far this season). Unfortunately for Red Sox fans, the likely reason for lots of runs here is the hometown’s starter, Clay Buchholz. Although he’s 3-1, in his five starts he’s given up five or more runs every time out. He’s very susceptible to the big inning and with the Orioles in the top-three in the American League in home runs, that type of big inning is very likely. Baltimore’s starter Tommy Hunter has been steadier in 2012. Still, he hasn’t faced a lineup as good as Boston’s yet this year and he does have big letdowns. For example, he was thumped for eight runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on April 18. Go for over 10.5 runs at 2.00 as the under at 1.81 is unlikely to come in.