The old saying, “there’s no place like home” will be in effect when the Boston Red Sox host the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday.
Boston’s home dominance has been exceptional this season. Coming into this series, the club has a .630 winning percentage at Fenway Park. One pitcher who has particularly loved throwing there is tonight’s starter, John Lackey. He’s 4-2 with a 1.90 ERA at home versus 3-6 with a 4.11 ERA on the road.
Seattle starter Hisashi Iwakuma has dealt with some road hiccups of his own (bad news when visiting Fenway). He hasn’t quite been the same pitcher in away games (3.34 ERA) as when he pitches in Seattle (2.49 ERA). Moreover, the Red Sox have owned him (albeit in a very small sample set). In 17 plate appearances, Boston batters have posted a .563 batting average against Iwakuma.
Overall, against the Mariners, Boston has won three out of four contests. Look for the Red Sox, available at 1.65, to add to that win tally here.
Expect a low scoring affair when the New York Yankees visit the Los Angeles Dodgers. The combination of Clayton Kershaw on the mound –at home no less – against a very weak New York Yankees lineup should depress scoring.
Kershaw leads the National League with a 1.96 ERA, but he owns an even better 1.74 ERA at home. The Yankees rank near the bottom of the American League in most offensive categories.
While the Dodgers have jump started their offence, Yankees starter Hiroki Kuroda will be a formidable opponent. He’s pitched very well this year (2.51 ERA) and, as a former member of the Dodgers, he has a lot of experience at Dodger Stadium.
In his last two years there (2010 and 2011), he put up solid ERAs of 3.10 and 3.27, respectively. He should be motivated to prove his continued value against his old club as well. Be ready for the total run count to be below six runs.
Boston Red Sox to beat the Seattle Mariners at 1.65.
Under 6 runs between LA Dodgers and New York Yankees at 1.82.