Home run (Safest bet)
Go with the New York Yankees 1.57 on the road to win against the Chicago Cubs.
My devotion to Yankees rookie Masahiro Tanaka continues in this Tuesday contest. Tanaka hasn’t ceased to impress every time he gets the pitching assignment. In his last outing. He threw a complete game shutout against the New York Mets, allowing just four hits while striking out eight. In eight starts this year, he is 6-0 with a 2.17 ERA. He faces a subpar Cubs lineup that owns just a .232 batting average at Wrigley Field.
Tanaka’s pitching opponent, Jason Hammel, is a worthy adversary. He’s 4-2 this year with a 3.06 ERA in eight starts. But he’s coming off a shaky appearance versus the St. Louis Cardinals in which he allowed five runs in only 5 1/3 innings pitched. Moreover, the former Baltimore Orioles starter has a pretty unimpressive track record against the Yankees’ hitters. In 182 plate appearances, New York batters own a .311 batting average, .359 on base percentage and a .443 slugging percentage against Hammel.
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
Consider the Seattle Mariners, on at 1.81, to prevail at the Texas Rangers.
The Rangers have home field advantage but that won’t be enough to overcome Seattle in this game. Both pitchers – Hisashi Iwakuma for the Mariners and Colby Lewis for the Rangers – have a lot of history with their opponents and the results are very different.
Iwakuma has thrown well against Rangers’ hitters. In a combined 101 plate appearances, Texas batters have a .240 batting average and a particularly low .267 on base percentage (their slugging percentage is a more reasonable .396). It’s also worth noting that one of the few Texas hitters with a good stats versus Iwakuma, Prince Fielder (.429 batting average), is currently trying to battle through a pretty serious neck injury so he probably won’t be 100%.
Lewis has not fared nearly as well against his opposing hitters. In 104 plate appearances, the Mariners have a .310 batting average, .359 on base percentage and a whopping .570 slugging percentage. Even if Lewis was facing a team that he possessed a better back story against, he just hasn’t been incredibly effective this year. He did throw 5 2/3 innings of shutout ball his last time out, but that was against a poor Houston Astros team. Before that his ERA was 6.12 in five starts.