MLB Betting: Leake to inspire Reds in San Diego

A motivated pitcher will drive the Cincinnati Reds into the winner’s circle on Monday at the San Diego Padres.

Reds’ starter Mike Leake was born in San Diego and will, no doubt, want to perform well in front of friends and family in what will be the first start of his career at Petco Park.

Leake’s inaugural Major League visit to San Diego comes at just the right time. He’s won five of his last six decisions and faces a Padres lineup that owns a weak .235 batting average at its home field. Adding to Cincinnati’s chances in this game is the fact that Sean O’Sullivan is slated to pitch for San Diego.

O’Sullivan’s lifetime ERA is 6.04 and he’s 0-2 in a pair of starts this season. Most troubling, is that he’s given up 18 hits and seven walks in just 13 1/3 innings pitched. Choose the Reds, on at 1.58, to capture the road win.

Get ready for a pitchers’ duel in Texas when the Rangers host the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.

Both Angels’ starter Jered Weaver and Rangers’ new acquisition/starter Matt Garza have been extremely sharp lately. Weaver has a 4-1 record and a 1.32 ERA in his past five starts and Garza is 4-0 with a 1.24 ERA in his past four appearances. Beyond their recent form, both pitchers have solid track records against opposing hitters in this contest.

In a very large 416 plate appearance sample set, Weaver has held Rangers hitters to a .247 batting average. With the exception of Howie Kendrick (who has smacked Garza around (going five for six lifetime), the rest of the Angels have registered just a .205 batting average in 78 at bats against the Rangers pitcher.

The upshot is that both starters should be on their game and in all likelihood the scoring total will not exceed 8 runs.

Best bets

Cincinnati Reds to beat the San Diego Padres at 1.58.

Under 8 runs in Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim at 1.97.