Home run (Safest bet)
Go with the Los Angeles Dodgers - 1.78 - to win on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The season can’t end soon enough for the Arizona Diamondbacks, but unfortunately for them (and their fans) they have to play this Tuesday tilt. This is a game of perfect opposites. No team in the National League has a better winning record on the road than the Dodgers, and no team is worse at home on the circuit than the Diamondbacks. If both just play to percentages, then Los Angeles is the heavy favorite. (Beyond that, Arizona has been in particular scuffle mode lately; coming into this week they were 3-7 in their past ten games.)
Throw in the fact that Roberto Hernandez is pitching for Los Angeles and it furthers the club’s odds. Hernandez has pitched well since coming over to the Dodgers in early August. He owns a 3.18 ERA in three starts. He also has a decent history against Arizona hitters. Diamondbacks batters possess a .250 batting average and .292 on base percentage in 89 career plate appearances against the former All Star.
As for Arizona’s starting pitcher, Trevor Cahill is suffering through a tough campaign. He’s 3-8 with a 4.54 ERA. While he has pitched better as of late, so many of his problem have occurred when he’s been forced to pitch at Chase Field. His record there in 2014: 1-5 with a 5.52 ERA in twelve games.
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
Take the Houston Astros, on at - 2.02 - at home against the Oakland A’s.
Houston pitcher Dallas Keuchel gets a rare favorable match up against a front-running A’s team. Keuchel has easily been the Astros’ ace this year, as evidence by his winning record on a losing team (10-9) as well as his 3.12 ERA. He’s remained consistent in the latter part of the season, having delivered quality starts (six innings or more pitched; three runs or fewer allowed) in five of his last six appearances. What’s important to note about Keuchel is he’s also a workhorse. He’s thrown at least seven innings in five of his last six games. This gives him a good chance at victory as he helps bypass a weak Astros’ bullpen.
Oakland goes with Jason Hammel, who was acquired from the Chicago Cubs in early July. While Hammel was quite effective for the Cubs (8-5 with a 2.98 ERA), he has been dismal with the A’s (1-5 with a 6.75 ERA). The team was also just hit with additional pitching bad news – their top reliever Sean Doolittle has hit the disabled list. This thins out the Oakland bullpen, hurting the club’s chance for a win here.