The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim have a very favorable pitching match-up on Wednesday at home to the Minnesota Twins.
Despite battling injury earlier in the season, Angels’ starter Jered Weaver has looked sharp since his return. In his past five starts he’s 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA.
What adds to Weaver’s potency in this game is the fact it’s at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. At home, Weaver has a 2.44 ERA (compared with a 4.60 ERA on the road). The final nail in the Twins’ coffin is Weaver’s historical success versus Minnesota hitters.
Lifetime, Twins batters own a very weak .180 batting average in 102 plate appearances. Adding to the Twins misery in this one is that they’ve chosen Mike Pelfrey for the pitching start. Pelfrey is 4-7 with a 5.40 ERA. Pick the Angels (1.38) to win.
In Seattle, the visiting Cleveland Indians will ride a hot pitcher to victory against the Mariners. Cleveland starter Scott Kazmir had difficulties earlier in the season but has bounced back nicely in his past five starts. In that stretch he’s posted a strong 2.10 ERA.
He sets up nicely against a Mariners’ lineup that struggles against left-handed pitching. The team has hit just .236 versus lefty starters this season (Kazmir is left-handed). While they’re not great against righties either (.247), there is an appreciable difference.
The Mariners counter with a lefty of their own, Joe Saunders. But in this case, the splits also work in the Indians’ favor. Cleveland has hit .262 versus lefty starters this year compared to a .251 average versus right-handers.
Indians hitters have a strong track record against Saunders as well. In 131 plate appearances, Cleveland batters own a .284 batting average and a .431 slugging percentage versus the Mariners’ starter. The critical mass of those factors points to an Indians win.
Best bet: Cleveland Indians to beat Seattle Mariners at 1.87.