Marlins v Mets
Expect the New York Mets to get the best of the Marlins in Miami on Friday. R.A. Dickey, who has generally dominated with a 16-4 record and a 2.76 ERA, has been particularly sharp against the Marlins in 2012. In three starts, he’s 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA. Miami counters with Nathan Eovaldi, who they acquired from the Dodgers in the trade that sent Hanley Ramirez to Los Angeles. Eovaldi has been shaking since the move. Before the deal he had a 4.15 ERA, since then he’s posted a 5.33 ERA. That’s bad news for Miami, which should be avoided at 2.35; go with the Mets at 1.60.
Indians v Rangers
With pitcher Ryan Dempster’s comfort level increasing in Texas, the Rangers are the pick when they visit the Cleveland Indians. After coming over from the Chicago Cubs, Dempster clearly needed some time to acclimatize to the more offensively minded American League. Although he went 3-1 in his first three starts, he posted a 5.46 ERA. Since then, he’s gotten into a groove, going 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA.
The Indians, who are outside of the playoff race and thus lack some motivation, can point to this game’s starter, Ubaldo Jimenez, as one of the reasons for their poor performance in 2012. Overall, Jimenez is 9-13 with a 5.58 ERA, but he’s getting worse as the season progresses. In his past nine starts he’s a horrid 1-6 with a 7.96 ERA. Choose the Rangers at 1.57 as Jimenez shows no signs of turnaround, which means the Indians at 2.40 are an unworthy long shot.