MLB Betting: Marlins v Padres and Giants v Dodgers


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Recent pitching form will dictate the winner when the San Diego Padres play the Marlins in Miami on Sunday. The Marlins’ Josh Johnson has certainly had some hiccups in his return season from an arm injury. That said, he is one of the game’s biggest talents and as the confidence returns to the right-hander, the results will surely follow. Case in point: in his last outing he had a perfect game into the fifth inning and ended up with nine strikeouts in six scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves. In this one, Johnson will also benefit from pitching at home, where he’s been far better than on the road (3.35 ERA versus 5.48).

In contrast, San Diego’s Clayton Richard yielded seven earned runs in his most recent outing against the San Francisco Giants. Richard also has been a bit wobbly in away stadiums (4.52 ERA) compared to the comforting confines of Petco Park (3.71 ERA). Pick the Marlins at 1.55 to prevail in this matchup against the Padres (2.45).

A pitcher’s duel is brewing in San Francisco as the Los Angeles Dodgers come to town to battle their National League West rivals, the Giants. No NL pitcher has been better in their home park in 2012 than Ryan Vogelsong: he owns a remarkable 1.41 ERA at AT&T Park. In fact, the Giants haven’t suffered a loss with Vogelsong on the mound in San Francisco since May 3.

That streak may end as San Francisco must face reigning Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw. Though Kershaw is coming off a bad performance against the St. Louis Cardinals, the left-hander is always amped up to pitch at AT&T Park. In seven career appearances at the Giants’ home field he has a sparkling 0.79 ERA over 45 2/3 innings. Whoever wins this one, you can be sure the run total will come in under 6.0 at 1.90 as these pitchers are in their element leaving the over at equal odds of 1.90 very unlikely.