MLB Betting: Mets to reel in Marlins

Rookie Matt Harvey’s magical ride will continue on Sunday in Miami, where his New York Mets will prevail over the Marlins. Throughout this campaign, Harvey has been fantastic, posting a 5-0 record and a 1.85 ERA. Harvey has also dominated teams with losing records, going 4-0 with a 1.45 ERA. In his one start versus the Marlins he threw a solid 5 1/3 innings, giving up just one run while striking out seven. Harvey has also proved that he’s not intimidated pitching on the road. In away games this season, he’s 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA.

He’ll benefit from two other major factors. The first is that the Marlins are the worst run-scoring squad in the National League. The second is that Harvey’s Mets enter this match-up with momentum. The club swept a four-game series from their cross town rivals, the New York Yankees, prior to traveling to Miami. Kevin Slowey is the hard-luck pitcher who must oppose him. Overall, Slowey has a 3.59 ERA, but there are signs he starting to falter. In his past four outings he’s given up 16 runs in just 18 innings of work. Go with the Mets, on at 1.50, to win this one.

The Philadelphia Phillies should make the most of home field advantage when they host the Milwaukee Brewers. Frankly, wherever the Phillies were playing in this one they’d be a strong pick because in-form Cliff Lee is on the mound. Over his past seven starts he’s registered a 5-1 record and a 1.53 ERA. While Citizens Bank Ballpark isn’t a very friendly pitchers environment, Lee has historically succeeded there, posting a lifetime 17-12 record with a 2.72 ERA.

Brewers starter Wily Peralta has been plain awful in 2013. He’s 3-6 with a 6.35 ERA. What’s particularly troubling is he doesn’t seem to be improving as the season progresses. In his past three starts he’s given up 17 runs in 11 2/3 innings pitched. The Phillies hitters, who as a unit have been underachieving this year, will break out and lead Philadelphia (1.58) to victory.