Home run (Safe bet)
Go with the San Francisco Giants at 1.51 to pick up a victory against a visiting San Diego Padres team.
The Giants boast a starting pitching advantage in this Saturday tilt. While it wasn’t one of the most high profile trading deadline moves, San Francisco’s acquisition of Jake Peavy was a big one for the Giants. He’s posted an impressive 2.20 ERA in eleven starts and gives the team a legit addition to their pitching rotation going into the post-season. In particular, Peavy has found AT&T Park a very accommodating home. In his five starts there, he, has a dominating 1.62 ERA.
The Padres’ Eric Stults currently leads the National League in losses with 17. It’s his efforts on the road that have hurt him so badly. In away games, Stults is 3-10 with a 4.74 ERA. In his only start in San Francisco this season, he was blitzed giving up seven hits and five runs in just 2 2/3 innings pitched.
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
Take the New York Mets, on at 1.63, at home against the Houston Astros.
Neither of these teams are very good, but Mets pitcher Rafael Montero has a lot of going for him in this game. He’s shown really solid strikeout numbers in 39 innings of work (36 punch outs), and the Astros are a real strikeout prone club (no team has registered more strikeouts in the American League than Houston). The Astros are also worse on the road in all three of the major hitting categories – batting average, on base percentage and slugging percentage – than at home.
As for Houston’s starter, Sam Deduno, it’s been an ugly season. In thirty appearances with the Minnesota Twins he went 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA. He was picked up by Houston in late August and has fared even worse in four relief outings, going 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA. This will be his first start of the season for the Astros.