MLB Betting: Mets v Diamondbacks and Padres v Marlins

Wade Miley has been a stealth success for the Arizona Diamondbacks this year. Expect him to show up in New York, when his club takes on the Mets on Friday, and continue his success. Miley started the year in the bullpen, but hasn’t allowed a single earned run over two starts (12 1/3 innings) since replacing Daniel Hudson in the pitching rotation. The Mets lineup is sub par and their pitcher Dillon Gee has struggled at home so far this season. He’s 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA at Citi Field.  A humming Arizona offence (top-5 in the National League) won’t help Gee’s cause. Aim for the Diamondbacks on the road at 1.88 over the Mets at 1.92.

Marlins starter Josh Johnson has been one of the season’s big disappointments so far, with a 0-3 record and a 5.34 ERA. But I expect him to pitch more like the Johnson of old – even with his bad start he still has a lifetime 3.07 ERA – when he visits every pitcher’s favourite stadium, Petco Park. Not surprisingly, Petco Park ranks among the bottom four in all of Major League Baseball when it comes to run production. Johnson’s velocity has been fine but following an injury that kept him out for most of last season, he hasn’t pitched with confidence. Petco is the type of place where he’ll be able to regain it. Whether it will be enough for a win, that’s another question as his pitching opponent Anthony Bass has thrown quite well this year, posting a 2.30. Nevertheless, between the two look for a low scoring game. Though the over under is a paltry 6 runs, take the under at 1.85 (rather than 1.95 for the over) as a pitcher’s duel should keep the total down.