Mets v Rockies
Look for a high-scoring affair when the Colorado Rockies visit the New York Mets on Thursday. Due to injury Johan Santana is a late minute scratch (in fact, he’ll be shut down for the rest of the season due to a multitude of issues). His replacement is Collin McHugh, who will be making his Major League debut. McHugh has performed well at the minor league level but has never been a heralded prospect (he was drafted quite late in the 18th round of the 2008 draft). It’s a big step up for a player of his pedigree. Even if he keeps it close, the bullpen can’t be counted on to keep runs off the board. The Mets’ bullpen is one of the worst in the National League (fourth in runs allowed per game in the league). The Rockies aren’t in a much better situation. Starter Tyler Chatwood is 3-3 with a 5.46 ERA and gave up six runs in four innings his last time out. Look for more than 8.0 runs to be scores at 1.95 as I don’t see the under coming in at 1.85.
Phillies v Reds
The exact opposite (i.e. a pitcher’s duel) should be on tap in Philadelphia when the Cincinnati Reds visit the Phillies. The match-up features two legitimate Cy Young Award contenders. The Reds’ Johnny Cueto is 16-6 with a 2.44 ERA and hasn’t lost any momentum as the season has dragged on. In his last outing, he went eight innings , allowing just two runs in a victory over the Chicago Cubs. The Phillies Cole Hamels has been equally as impressive. He’s 14-6 with a 2.94 ERA. In his last appearance he went 7 2/3 innings conceding three runs, eight hits and one walk, while striking out 10 batters en route to a win over the Milwaukee Brewers. This should be a fun one to watch as under 7.0 runs at 1.82 look in order instead of the over at 1.98.