The San Francisco Giants may be in early season form and the Milwaukee Brewer may be looking woeful so far, but on Wednesday it’s the Brewers who will be victorious in their match up in Milwaukee.
The key here are the starting pitchers. The Giants’ Ryan Vogelsong is an iffy proposition on the road. Last year, he gave up a full run more away (3.87 ERA) than at home (2.86 ERA). This season, against a weak Chicago Cubs line up, he gave up five runs and eight hits in six innings in his only road test to date.
While he got the win in that game, he was aided by Giants hitters getting the opportunity to tee off against a substandard pitcher in Scott Feldman.
In this game, San Francisco faces a higher caliber pitcher in Kyle Lohse. The right-handed Lohse has pitched effectively in both of his 2013 starts, giving up a total of three runs in 13 innings.
What’s notable is that the two teams he’s pitched against this year – the St. Louis Cardinals and the Arizona Diamondbacks – have been more potent at the plate thus far in this campaign compared to the Giants.
Go with the Brewers at 1.81 as a strong starting pitching should ride them to a win over San Francisco, who can be had at 2.02.
Pitcher Bud Norris has been one of the few feel good stories for the Houston Astros this season, but even with him getting the start, the Astros will be hard-pressed to win on the road against the Oakland A’s.
Through Monday, Norris, who’s captured two wins, has exactly half of his team’s victories. His talent is no fluke – he throws a very effective fastball that averages 92 miles per hour along with a good slider and change up. But two factors are working against him in this match-up.
The first is that he’s on the road. His career splits away from Houston are awful. He has a 3.50 ERA at home and a 5.25 ERA on the road.
The second issue is the A’s proved very effective against Norris already this season. On April 6, the A’s tallied five runs in 5 2/3 innings to hang Norris with a loss. Oakland starter Bartolo Colon is particularly comfortable at O.co Stadium. During his long career he has a 3.25 ERA in 21 appearances.
Houston’s offence has been below the league average, while the A’s are leading the circuit in runs scored per game. Take Oakland at 1.54 to win this contest instead of Houston at 2.50.
Best Bet: Back Oakland against Houston at 1.54
Follow Josh Chetwynd's MLB betting tips every day