It’s time to ride the Tommy Milone train when his Oakland A’s host the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim on Wednesday.
Like last year, when Milone delivered a 2.74 ERA in 15 home starts, the left-hander has been excellent at O.co Stadium. In fact, in three games in Oakland this season, he’s produced a sterling 1.77 ERA.
He’ll face off against a fellow lefty, C.J. Wilson. Wilson has been uneven so far in 2013 as illustrated by his 4.30 ERA. Two of his worst starts have come on the road as he’s allowed seven runs in 11 1/3 innings away from Anaheim. While Oakland hasn’t swung the bat incredibly well at home, they do get on base appreciably better against lefties than righties.
The line-up has a .375 on base percentage versus left-handers as opposed to a .332 OBP versus right-handers. An added advantage for the A’s: their bullpen has been more consistent than the Angels’ relief corps. Trust in Milone and company and pick the A’s at 1.85.
Looking for a safe bet? The value isn’t great, but there is a large mismatch that can net relatively easy money when the New York Yankees host the Houston Astros.
Admittedly, this is not your father’s New York Yankees. They’ve been without big names like Derek Jeter, Mark Teixeira, Curtis Granderson and Alex Rodriguez all season. Yet, this team, paced by Robinson Cano, can still hit. They rank in the top five in runs scored per game in the American League.
Playing at home has been particularly kind. They entered this series 9-4 at Yankee Stadium.
New York doesn’t start one of its best as David Phelps has been subpar primarily as a reliever. But in his most recent appearance he showed signs of improvement. He went four innings in relief, allowing just one run while striking out nine.
To be honest, the real reason to expect a Yankees rout is the poor quality of the Houston club. Their pitcher, Erik Bedard, is flat out struggling. In his last three starts, he’s pitched just 7 1/3 innings and has yielded 13 runs. As for the Astros’ line-up, they are one of only four American League teams to be averaging less than four runs a game.
It won’t be a big payday, as the Yankees are on at 1.40, but it is as sure a result as there is on the fixtures.
Best Bet: Back the Oakland A's against the LA Angels at 1.85
Follow Josh Chetwynd's MLB betting tips every day