Padres v Dodgers
Watch for the Los Angeles Dodgers to pick up a much-needed win in San Diego against the Padres on Thursday. This is an instance where LA will benefit from a struggling opponent on the pitcher’s mound. Padres’ starter Casey Kelly, who is considered a top prospect, is showing that he may very well need a bit more seasoning before an extended stay at the Major League level. Kelly is 2-2 with a 5.55 ERA so far and has struggle mightily with his control. In his last outing he walked four batters in just 4 1/3 innings. Along with walks often leading to runs (in this case he gave up two), it also increases his pitch count making it difficult for him to go deep into the game. His opponent Chris Capuano has not been pitching well as of late (5.06 ERA in September), but I look for Kelly’s difficulties to trump Capuano’s recent performance (as Capuano’s overall numbers 11-11 with a 3.74 ERA suggest he’s better than that). Go with Los Angeles at 1.45, not the Padres at 2.75.
Angels v Mariners
There should be some good pitching in Anaheim when the Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners. It’s been a difficult season for Seattle, but one of its bright spots has been Hisashi Iwakuma. The Japanese rookie has established himself well as a viable big league starter going 6-4 with a 2.93 ERA when he gets that call. He has remained strong late into this season as illustrated by his performance on Friday in which he allowed three runs against the Texas Rangers to get the win. As for the Angels, starter Dan Haren seems to be back on form after injuries diminished his performance earlier in the year. On Saturday, Haren recorded his fourth victory in five tries, allowing two runs in six innings against the Chicago White Sox. In his past six starts, he has an impressive 2.45 ERA. Expect under 8.0 runs at 1.85 to coming in as these on-form pitchers should pitch well enough not to go over at 1.95.