The Seattle Mariners are a good bet this Saturday, on the road against the San Diego Padres. It’s been a bumpy year for Felix Hernandez (4-5, 3.52 ERA), but before his last start he reworked some of his pitching mechanics to great effect: he yielded just one run in seven innings and struck out seven against the San Francisco Giants.
San Diego starter Jason Marquis pitched well beyond his talent level in his last performance, striking out ten Texas Rangers hitters while giving up just two runs and five hits in seven innings. That outing might tempt you to go with the Padres, but don’t. Marquis overall numbers – 3-6 and a 6.08 ERA – are far more reflective of what to expect from him. King Felix and the Mariners will reign at 1.70, instead of Marquis and San Diego at 2.15.
Alex Cobb has hit a groove, which will be good news for the Tampa Bay Rays when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies. Cobb is coming off his best outing of 2012, pitching seven scoreless innings, earning ten strikeouts while allowing two hits and one walk against the Miami Marlins. He’s only in his second Major League season, but the right-hander’s splits show a lot of comfort on the road. He’s 3-2 with a 2.41 ERA away from Tampa Bay as opposed to 3-3 with a 4.42 ERA at home.
Philadelphia’s Kyle Kendrick has been essentially ineffective wherever he’s pitched this year. He’s lost three straight starts and has conceded five runs or more in all three outings. Overall, he’s 2-7 with a 5.29 ERA. Pick the Rays to prevail on the road at 1.88 as the Phillies (1.92) will struggle behind Kendrick.