MLB Betting: Phillies to tame Marlins

The pitchers will reign when the Chicago White Sox host the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. 

Both starters have produced dominant stuff this year and they should be confident at U.S. Cellular Park. Chicago’s Chris Sale has been superb at home (3-0 with a 1.47 ERA) in four starts, while Buchholz has pitched expertly on the road where he’s 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA. 

Though it’s been a while since his last outing on Chicago’s Southside, Buchholz did throw a masterful eight innings, allowing just five hits and one run back in that 2010 start. Red Sox hitters have posted a meek .158 batting average versus Sale and Buccholz has had decent success against White Sox hitters, who have logged a pedestrian .257 batting average against the right hander. 

Although U.S. Cellular has a history as an offensive locale, this season it’s is in the bottom third of Major League ballparks in terms of runs scored. All these factors point to a little scoring. As a result, take under 8 runs at 1.95.

Further south, the Philadelphia Phillies will get a win on the road at Miami against the Marlins. Look for Phillies starter Cliff Lee to overwhelm the Marlins lineup. 

As a whole, Miami hitters have mustered a combined .209 batting average against Lee. Even more telling is Marlins batters have delivered just seven extra base hits in 123 plate appearances. In other words, even when they make contact they’re not driving the ball against Lee. Being on the road shouldn’t faze Lee, who is 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA away from Philadelphia this season. 

Adding to the Phillies chances is the fact that Kevin Slowey gets the pitching assignment for Miami. The right-hander started the season in great form, but has lost his way in his past two starts. Over that stretch, he’s given up eleven runs in 7 2/3 innings. Quite simply, he’s off his game. 

Best bet: Phillies to beat Miami Marlins at 1.57