Tim Lincecum's form might be slowly improving, but he’s yet to prove he’s a road warrior. As a result, the San Francisco Giants will be hard-pressed to win when they travel to face the Phillies. In his last outing, Lincecum performed well, throwing eight shutout innings to win against the Houston Astros. But that game was at AT&T Park, where even in the midst of a horrible year, Lincecum has been respectable (2-4, 3.43 ERA). Away from home his record has been particularly ugly – 1-6 with a 9.00 ERA.
Philadelphia’s Vance Worley has been a model of consistency of late. He’s registered seven quality starts (six innings or more pitched; three earned runs or less allowed) in his past eight outings. While the Phillies' overall record hasn’t been great, they had won four of five coming into this series. Continue to bet against Lincecum until he shows he’s solid on the road and go with Philadelphia at 1.77 over the Giants at 2.05.
The Colorado Rockies are likely to earn an away victory against the San Diego Padres. The Rockies starter Drew Pomeranz has had some growing pains as evidenced by his five-inning, five-runs allowed performance against the Phillies last time out. But the stat line was a bit misleading as Pomeranz was throwing well until he yielded a three-run home run at the hitter-friendly Coors Field. He’ll be pitching in the exact opposite environment in Petco Park. Though he had a shaky outing there in early May before being sent down to the minor leagues for more seasoning, Pomeranz bounced back nicely against the Padres on July 1, when he gave up no earned runs and just two hits in six innings.
His opposition, Jason Marquis, is far from a world-beater. His overall numbers – 4-9 with a 5.59 ERA – are reflective of a pitcher who is definitely in decline. Pick the Rockies at 1.90 instead of the Padres at 1.90.