One of the reasons the Philadelphia Phillies’ Roy Halladay has won two Cy Young awards is that he’s great at making adjustments. That’s why he hasn’t lost three decisions in a row since June 2010. Although he’s currently lost two straight decisions, don’t expect him to fall for a third consecutive time when his club hosts the New York Mets on Monday. Halladay is 9-2 with a 2.88 lifetime against the Mets and he’s generally strong at Citizens Bank Park (21-9 with a 2.32 ERA). Admittedly, the righty is coming off a dismal performance (5 1/3 innings, eight runs on 12 hits), but that was against a very potent Atlanta Braves team.
The Mets are below the average in run production this season. While New York pitcher Jon Niese did shut out Philadelphia over 6 2/3 innings earlier this year, the Phillies are a veteran lineup, which should make adjustments based on that previous match up. It’ll be a close call, but I see the Phillies prevailing at 1.47 over the Mets, who are available at 2.70.
The St. Louis Cardinals’ Lance Lynn has a good chance of taking his record to 6-0 against the Diamondbacks’ Joe Saunders at Arizona. Lynn has been undaunted on the road in 2012, having allowed just three runs in 21 2/3 away innings. Overall, he’s used an uncanny ability to change speeds to show impressive consistency. He’s only allowed more than one run in a game a single time in five starts – and in that contest he conceded two runs. It helps that he’s backed by the National League’s best run-producing offence, meaning Arizona left-hander Joe Saunders will have his hands full.
St. Louis did struggle last week against lefty Erik Bedard, but overall they’ve swung the bat well against southpaws in 2012. I’d consider going with the Cardinals at 1.81 and passing on the Diamondbacks, who are on at 2.00.