Phillies v Mets
Forget a high scorer when the Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets on Wednesday. The Phillies are going with Cole Hamels, who has certainly built up some credentials for his Cy Young Award candidacy. He’s 14-6 with a 2.99 ERA. While Citizens Bank Park has a reputation as a hitters’ stadium, Hamels has pitched better there than on the road this season (2.87 ERA at home v. 3.11 ERA away). His pitching opponent, Matt Harvey, has also shown some dominant ability since making his big league debut on August 16. Not only does he have a 2.75 ERA but he’s flashed the ability to get strikeouts – whiffing 43 batters in his first 36 innings pitched. (That’s the most over a pitcher’s first six starts in the history of the Mets franchise). I see both of these players on form so consider under 7.5 runs at 1.75 instead of the over at 2.08.
Marlins v Nationals
The Washington Nationals will continue their march to the post-season when they visit the Miami Marlins. Washington pitcher Ross Detwiler has been a steady presence in the Nationals’ pitching rotation. Even when he isn’t his best he gives his team a chance to win. For example in his last outing he didn’t flash his best sinker but still gutted out 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs against the Atlanta Braves. He did previously face the Marlins with much success, throwing eight shutout innings. Miami’s Jacob Turner is only getting the start as a substitute for Wade LeBlanc. He’s just 21-years-old and his numbers – 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA – suggest he needs more seasoning before an extended shot at the Major Leagues. Pick the Nationals at 1.70 not the Marlins at 2.15.