In a battle of two weak teams, the Philadelphia Phillies are poised to win at home against the Miami Marlins.
The Phillies’ Roy Halladay has endured a season to remember. He was ineffective to start the season and then was shelved on the disabled list for most of May and all of June and July. Since coming back, he’s pitched well enough to lower his ERA by nearly two whole runs (admittedly, it was at 8.65 before being injured).
When healthy, a team he does like to face is Marlins. In two fit outings against Miami this season, he’s gone 2-0 and yielded a mere two runs in 14 innings pitched (he pitch against the Marlins a third time and was hit hard but that was a game he was pulled early from with an injury).
The Marlins’ pitcher Nate Eovaldi is a good one, but the Phillies have a solid history against him (in 86 plate appearances, they’ve hit .284 with a .392 slugging percentage). Moreover, his team’s offence, which ranks last in the National League, just can’t be trusted. Go with the Phillies at 1.82.
The Chicago White Sox will ride one of their best pitchers to victory at home versus the Toronto Blue Jays. Jose Quintana has been consistent for Chicago. He’s thrown a quality start in six of his most recent seven starts. In his past two outings, he’s been particularly good, giving up one run in 13 innings.
The problem with Quintana has been the run support he receives from the White Sox lineup. Consider his last seven starts. He’s 3-0 when the White Sox have scored at least four runs; in the other four games, he’s 0-4 because the club couldn’t tally more than one run in any of those contests. So the key here is whether Quintana’s hitters can score a few runs.
Enter Toronto pitcher J.A. Happ. He has a 4.82 ERA this season and earlier this season White Sox hitters torched him for five runs in 5 2/3 innings. There’s reason for Quintana to believe he’ll get the support he deserves. Take him and his White Sox at 1.78.
Back the Phillies at 1.82
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