An excellent pitchers’ duel is on tap Tuesday when the New York Mets visit the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Each starting pitcher does two things very well – consistently keep scoring down and go deep into games. The Mets’ Matt Harvey has logged 23 starts in 2013 and has yielded three runs or less in 20 of those appearances. In addition, he’s gone at least six innings in all but three of his outings. Los Angeles’ Hyun-jin Ryu has been nearly as consistent.
He’s given up three runs or less in 18 or his 22 starts and has pitched six or more innings in all but four of his starts. Throw in the fact that despite all the Dodgers’ heroic offensive production in the past few months, Dodger Stadium ranks dead last out of thirty Major League teams in terms of run production, according to ESPN’s MLB Park Factors, and you’ve got a potent recipe for a low scoring affair. As a result, take under 6 runs at 1.87.
Max Scherzer’s march to 20 wins will continue when he gets the start for the Detroit Tigers on the road against the Chicago White Sox. Scherzer’s 17-1 record has been a testament to both his solid pitching (he has a 2.84 ERA) and his team’s potent hitting attack (the club leads the American League in runs scored per game). Both should be in effect against a Chicago club that has all but capitulated this season.
The front office recently traded Alex Rios, one of the team’s few consistent hitters, signaling to not only other clubs but also to it’s own personnel that there isn’t much in the way of expectations for the final weeks of the season. Even if Chicago was motivated for this one odds for success would be long as Scherzer has a strong track record against them. Hitters on the roster own a weak .211 lifetime batting average versus Scherzer in 204 combined plate appearances.
White Sox starter Hector Santiago possesses a solid overall ERA of 3.43, but at home he hasn’t thrown as well, sporting a 4.25 ERA. The critical mass of facts points squarely at a Tigers win.
Under 6 runs in New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers at 1.87.
Detroit Tigers to beat Chicago White Sox at 1.48.