While times have been tough for the Boston Red Sox lately, look for them to pull out a road win against the Texas Rangers on Wednesday. Much has been made about the poor starting pitching from the Red Sox. Indeed, despite some big names, their starters have allowed above the league average in runs per game. Boston’s starter in this one, Josh Beckett, has certainly had his struggles – especially in the first inning where his ERA is shocking 10.69. But he has done some things right. For example, he hasn’t given up a home run in any of his past 10 outings. If he can navigate to a clean sheet in the first, he should perform well in this one.
His pitching opponent Derek Holland has been okay since coming off the disabled list (1-1 with a 3.98 ERA), but he has not been comfortable pitching at home: he’s 2-3 with a 6.38 ERA at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. Go with the Red Sox at 2.15 and pass on Texas at 1.70.
Jered Weaver will keep on rolling when his Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim host the Kansas City Royals. The domination of Weaver makes them an easy bet; not only is he 12-1 with a 2.20 ERA overall, but he’s also been particularly successful when pitching at home. At Angels Stadium of Anaheim, Weaver has a minuscule 0.67 ERA in eight appearances over 53 2/3 innings.
That’s a tough order for any team, but for the Royals, who hit more than twenty points lower on the road than at home, it’s a killer. As for the Royals starter, Luke Hochevar, he’s been decent at times this season, but I don’t expect him to throw well enough against an above-average Angels lineup. Pick the Angels at 1.37 as Kansas City (on at 3.10) lacks the firepower to prevail in this one.