The Texas Rangers at home will do well against the Chicago White Sox on Saturday. Matt Harrison is one of baseball’s most underrated pitchers and has thrown like an ace this year: he's 12-5 with a 3.02 ERA. Other relevant stats also support his strong position in this game. In his last 11 starts he’s 8-2 with a 1.69 ERA and at home, which is a tough pitcher’s park, he’s 4-2 with a 3.02 ERA. He’s been equally strong against the White Sox over the past two years (1-1- with a 2.84 ERA).
Philip Humber gets the pitching assignment for Chicago. Since throwing a perfect game earlier in the season, he’s battled injury and has struggled enormously (4-5 with a 6.25 ERA). In his last outing, he went only three innings and gave up four home runs without registering a single strike out. Take the in-form Harrison and the Rangers at 1.50 as Humber should get hit hard, leaving the White Sox, at 2.60, out in the cold.
The pitcher's nemesis that is Coors Field will be the difference-maker when the Cincinnati Reds visit the Colorado Rockies. Rockies pitcher Christian Friedrich has been downright awful at home this year. He sports a 2-4 record with an 8.23 ERA at home (versus 3-3 with a 3.77 ERA on the road).
In comparison, the Reds’ starter Johnny Cueto, who currently leads the National League with a 2.23 ERA, has thrown admirably in Denver’s rarified air: in two starts he has a lifetime 3.00 ERA. Considering those splits alone, the Reds at 1.57 are the tip and the Rockies, at 2.40, are a pass.