Home run (Safe bet)
Go with the San Francisco Giants to win on the road at the Arizona Diamondbacks at 1.46.
This Wednesday contest will be dominated by Giants’ starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner. The All Star may not receive the headlines that his National League West adversary Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers gets, but Bumgarner has been very impressive at year in his own right. He’s posting an 18-9 record and a 2.91 ERA. But most notable for this game, the Giants’ pitcher has dominated against bad teams generally (10-3 with a 2.53 ERA against clubs with under .500 winning percentages like Arizona) and, specifically, he’s beat up the woeful Diamondbacks in three starts, posting a 2-0 record and a 1.96 ERA. Considering those numbers, plus the fact, he’s been dominate both on the road (11-3 with a 2.00 ERA) and over his past five games (5-0 with a 1.80 ERA), and there is very little reason to believe he won’t find success here.
That said even if he isn’t his normal impressive self, Bumgarner’s hitting teammates will benefit from facing Randall Delgado. The 24-year-old owns a 5.48 ERA and is coming off a miserable loss to these very Giants. In that game on September 11, he gave up seven hits and three runs in just 4 innings of work versus San Francisco.
Squeeze play (Gutsiest call)
In Tampa Bay, look for the Rays and the New York Yankees to score fewer than 6.5 runs; consider taking it at 1.78.
This will be a solid pitchers’ battle. Alex Cobb has been excellent for Tampa Bay this year. In twenty-four starts, he’s posted a 2.75 ERA, and he’s gotten better as the campaign has deepened. In his past five starts, over 31 2/3 innings, he’s posted a 1.14 ERA. Also relevant for our discussion here is his work at home. He has a 2.44 ERA at Tropicana Field.
For the Yankees, pitcher Brandon McCarthy has been the club’s best mid-season acquisition. While guys like Stephen Drew and Chase Headley haven’t jump started the club, McCarthy has definitely done his bit since coming over in late July. In twelve starts as a Yankee, McCarthy owns a 2.54 ERA. What’s more he pitched pretty well last time he threw in Tampa Bay. On August 15, he went 6 1/3 innings and allowed two earned runs while striking out seven against the Rays.