A bet against the Chicago White Sox is a bet against Phil Humber when they face the Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday on the road. Since throwing a perfect game, Humber is 0-2 with an 8.21 ERA. His slider, which was so good for him in him perfect performance, doesn’t have the same bite and as a result he’s been very hittable (36 hits in 30 2/3 innings pitched in that span). Over his career, Rays pitcher James Shields hasn’t been particularly good against the White Sox (3-2, 4.70 ERA), but he tends to throw well at home and he’s coming off a solid performance. In his last outing he struck out 10 in 7 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and walking one against the Toronto Blue Jays. I don’t expect Humber to clear up his problems in this one so go with the Rays at 1.62 and pass on the White Sox at 2.30.
The San Francisco Giants look good in their home match up versus the Arizona Diamondbacks. Giants’ starter Ryan Vogelsong has been among the league’s best in May. He has a 1.56 ERA in the month. Moreover, he’s been especially good when he’s thrown at AT&T Park – his ERA there is 1.32 this season (and this is no anomaly as he had a 2.11 ERA at home in 2011). The sample size is ultra-small, but the Diamondbacks’ starter Joe Saunders wasn’t good in his only career start in San Francisco. He lost that game, giving up four runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched. He also hasn’t been sharp as of late, giving up seven runs in 12 1/3 innings over his most recent two games. Consider the Giants the right choice at 1.77 over Arizona at 2.05.