Yovani Gallardo’s return to form means the Milwaukee Brewers are the team to pick when they face the Cincinnati Reds on Monday. Gallardo has secured victories in four of his past five decisions, including two in a row. Most notably, he’s gone a minimum of six innings in all of his past ten starts.
Compare that to the Reds’ talented but erratic starter Mat Latos, who was crushed for seven runs in just four innings versus the Cleveland Indians last time out. So far in four June starts, Latos has a dismal 6.97 ERA. Milwaukee, on at 2.12, is fourth in the National League in runs scored and that onslaught should continue against Cincinnati, who can be had at 1.72. Take the Brewers.
Two unsteady pitchers will allow some run scoring when the Oakland A’s play at Seattle against the Mariners. If the A’s pitcher Tommy Milone was throwing in Oakland, he’d be the no-brainer pick: he owns a minuscule 0.99 ERA there. But in away games, it’s another story - his road ERA is a very poor 7.42.
The Mariners’ Erasmo Ramirez has yet to show he can be a reliable starter in the Major Leagues. In two starts since coming up from the minor leagues he’s 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. Even against the weak-hitting San Diego Padres, he allowed eight hits and six runs in five innings. No doubt, Safeco Field is not normally a place to expect runs (the stadium ranks second-to-last in scoring in the Major Leagues). But with the line at 7.5 runs, the over at 1.95 is the pick instead of the under at 1.85 as neither pitcher can be trusted to perform well.