MLB Betting: Reds will make life rocky for Colorado

A return home will be welcomed for the Los Angeles Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw as he’ll lead his club to victory against the San Diego Padres on Wednesday. 

Although Kershaw is just 5-3, his 1.85 ERA is more reflective of how well he’s pitched. Even when he was on the road at the Colorado Rockies – a place that’s typically a pitcher’s nightmare – he yielded just three runs in seven innings in his last start. 

At Dodger Stadium, matters tend to go even more smoothly for Kershaw. This season he has a minuscule 1.38 ERA at home. 

Also, against teams with losing records, Kershaw has been sharp (3-1 with a 1.50 ERA). One caveat: he did give up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his only other appearance against the Padres – but that wasn’t at home. 

His opposing pitcher, Jason Marquis, has surprisingly good overall numbers. He’s 6-2 with a  respectable 3.82 ERA. That said, the 34-year-old’s diminishing skill level is starting to catch up to him. 

In his past two outings he’s given up seven runs in just 8 2/3 innings. He has pitched well in two outings against the Dodgers, but those starts came in mid-April when he was at his best. Go with the Dodgers at 1.48 to take the victory.

Johnny Cueto’s strong post-disabled list pitching will continue when his Cincinnati Reds host the Colorado Rockies. 

Cueto missed nearly a month with an injury and looked a little shaky in his first game back on May 20, allowing three runs in five innings. But in his two starts since then he’s thrown like the ace he was before the physical setback. 

In those most recent outings, he’s gone a combined 15 innings, yielding just five hits and one run. In contrast to Cueto, Rockies starter Jon Garland is riding the wrong kind of momentum. He hasn’t thrown a quality start (six innings or more pitched; three runs or less allowed) since April. 

While Coors Field can be tough on a pitcher, Garland can’t rely wholly on that excuse to explain his 5.81 ERA. In fact, in his past three outings on the road, he’s pitched a total of 15 innings and given up eleven runs. 

The disparity between the starting pitchers should be the difference in this contest. Pick the Reds (1.51) to prevail.

Best Bet: Back the Cincinnati Reds to beat the Colorado Rockies at 1.51

Follow Josh Chetwynd's MLB betting tips every day