Rockies V Cubs
The Chicago Cubs at the Colorado Rockies is a match-up between two struggling teams, but the result should leave Chicago fans relatively happy – at least for one night. The reason: it’s hard to bet on Rockies pitcher Drew Pomeranz. He’s 1-9 with a 5.30 ERA and struggles mightily to get ahead of hitters, forcing him to groove in pitches late in the count (hence, leading to lots of runs). Cubs starter Jason Berken has actually shown some signs of progress between his first and second starts for the Cubs this season. In his most recent appearance against the Cincinnati Reds his allowed just two hits and zero runs over six scoreless innings of work. That promising effort gives the Cubs at 2.08 the edge over the Rockies at 1.75.
Mets v Pirates
It’ll be a hitters’ game when the Pittsburgh Pirates visit the New York Mets. The two pitchers squaring off have not been successful at the Major League Level in 2012. The Pirates Jeff Locke is 0-2 with a 5.47 ERA and has giving up a whopping five home runs in his past 15 innings pitched (for the uninitiated, that’s a really bad ratio). Jeremy Hefner is coming off a rough starter versus the Phillies in which he was smacked for six straight singles to start the game. He then walked in a run and was pulled for the contest without getting a single batter out. For the season, he’s 2-7 with a 5.79 ERA. With such poor starting pitching, go for over 8.5 runs at 2.00 instead of the under at 1.81.