A safe bet can be found in Kansas City, where the Royals host the Detroit Tigers. Detroit is the right pick, as Justin Verlander should be able to easily dispatch of the Kansas City lineup. Throughout his career, Verlander has owned the Royals: lifetime, he’s 14-2 with a 2.36 ERA against them. While he’s on the road in this one, Kauffman Stadium has not been an impediment for the right-hander, who has 9-2 with a fantastic 1.83 ERA.
Control is a concern for Royals starter Luis Mendoza. In his last appearance, he walked four batters and hit another one. Though his overall record is okay – 7-9 with a 4.26 ERA - the Tigers have historically owned him: in seven appearances, Mendoza has an 8.80 ERA against Detroit. Though the odds aren’t great, go with the Tigers at 1.45 instead of Kansas City at 2.75.
The Atlanta Braves should secure a road victory against the San Diego Padres. The Braves play with tremendous confidence when Kris Medlen takes the mound, winning in each of his last 15 starts. In fact, Medlen is currently riding a 21-inning scoreless streak.
The Padres will counter with Andrew Werner, who recently had a good performance in his first Major League start, lasting six innings and giving up two runs to get the win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Still, he may have difficulty replicating that result. A bad sign was the fact he walked four batters. He got away with it against a below-league-average offence in the Pirates, but will have less luck against the Braves – who are third in the National League in runs per game. Take the Braves at 1.60 rather than the Padres at 2.35.